Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.143980 0.166503 0.191364 0.220838 0.254831 0.292810 0.338474
2025-11-23 0.107824 0.137863 0.174424 0.222191 0.282973 0.357773 0.456907
2025-11-30 0.089225 0.122331 0.165455 0.225729 0.307841 0.415895 0.569103
2025-12-07 0.073978 0.107386 0.153383 0.221320 0.319175 0.455181 0.658953
2025-12-14 0.063188 0.096379 0.144328 0.218615 0.330910 0.494551 0.751713
2025-12-21 0.056163 0.089545 0.139887 0.221291 0.349771 0.545087 0.865401
2025-12-28 0.052163 0.086599 0.140607 0.231412 0.380479 0.615995 1.017543
2026-01-04 0.047981 0.082699 0.139164 0.237595 0.405181 0.679576 1.164560
2026-01-11 0.044231 0.078958 0.137391 0.242762 0.428387 0.742633 1.317071
2026-01-18 0.040457 0.074656 0.134077 0.244708 0.445976 0.797599 1.461111
2026-01-25 0.036421 0.069359 0.128365 0.241612 0.454036 0.836419 1.580082
2026-02-01 0.032261 0.063317 0.120598 0.233771 0.452356 0.857230 1.667663
2026-02-08 0.030227 0.061128 0.119796 0.239103 0.476318 0.928330 1.859380
2026-02-15 0.027922 0.058139 0.117152 0.240580 0.493024 0.987524 2.034877
2026-02-22 0.026134 0.055960 0.115810 0.244410 0.514659 1.058236 2.240709
2026-03-01 0.023667 0.052072 0.110584 0.239637 0.518056 1.092600 2.375195
2026-03-08 0.021650 0.048900 0.106475 0.236709 0.524895 1.134501 2.529811
2026-03-15 0.020347 0.047139 0.105148 0.239606 0.544521 1.205119 2.754085
2026-03-22 0.019805 0.047021 0.107361 0.250561 0.583079 1.320308 3.089742
2026-03-29 0.018961 0.046106 0.107694 0.257253 0.612649 1.418528 3.397178
2026-04-05 0.018097 0.045043 0.107568 0.262846 0.640221 1.514898 3.710526
2026-04-12 0.017066 0.043457 0.106054 0.264952 0.659706 1.594459 3.992176
2026-04-19 0.015785 0.041103 0.102463 0.261601 0.665551 1.642349 4.201548